State Of The Union Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

L
Longest applause at State of the Union?

36%

70 - 90 seconds

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$951k Vol.
$145k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

2%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

91%

80-99

$6k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

79%

Democrats

$3k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

38%

60-79

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

50%

80-99

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

78%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

6%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win older women in the midterms?

84%

Democrats

$587 Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

1%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$15k Liq.
5
Ends in 16 days
W
What will Trump say during his Ribbon Cutting Ceremony?

51%

Ballroom

$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ended
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 22?

98%

$750

$1k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

27%

Yes

$310 Vol.
$858 Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

5%

Yes

$387 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

93%

Nuclear

$9k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

92%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$571 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
White House # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

93%

200+

$16k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours