State Of The Union Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

L
Longest applause at State of the Union?

36%

70 - 90 seconds

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$974k Vol.
$312k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

3%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

45%

80-99

$259 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

78%

Democrats

$3k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

48%

80-99

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

66%

80-99

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

78%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

7%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win older women in the midterms?

87%

Democrats

$727 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

1%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
9
Ends in 15 days
W
What will Trump say during his Ribbon Cutting Ceremony?

3%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$867 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

4%

Yes

$387 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

17%

Yes

$310 Vol.
$810 Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

93%

Nuclear

$15k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$366 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?

68%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$70 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 23?

99%

$760

$598 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 24 hours