State Of Union Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

L
Longest applause at State of the Union?

36%

70 - 90 seconds

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$289k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

2%

Yes

$685 Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
W
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

1%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 18 days
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

81%

Democrats

$2k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

46%

80-99

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

79%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$44k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

51%

100-119

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

22%

80-99

$135 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
P
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

5%

Yes

$138k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

6%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
W
Which party will win older women in the midterms?

85%

Democrats

$498 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

3%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

60%

December 31

$29.7m Vol.
$495k Liq.
🔥$336k today
575
Ends in 3 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

8%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

9%

Yes

$64 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k Vol.
$139 Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

5%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

93%

Antisemitic / Antisemitism

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 days