State Of The Union Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

L
Longest applause at State of the Union?

36%

70 - 90 seconds

$2k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

15%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$263k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

0%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

31%

80-99

$517 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

89%

Democrats

$5k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

54%

80-99

$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

81%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

7%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win older women in the midterms?

88%

Democrats

$837 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

0%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$19k Liq.
17
Ends in 12 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

74%

China

$775 Vol.
$837 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 28?

98%

$755

$695 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

5%

Yes

$387 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
C
Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

13%

Yes

$356 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

70%

Scam

$4k Vol.
$563 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

3%

Yes

$23k Vol.
$18k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

70%

March 31

$32.3m Vol.
$551k Liq.
🔥$614k today
639
Ends in 3 months
P
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?

3%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months