September 9 Primaries Predictions & Odds· 3864 markets

W
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

99%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$50k Liq.
28
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

92%

No release by September 30

$118k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

92%

September 26

$530k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

87%

September 24

$104k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

35%

September 29

$20k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

93%

September 30

$48k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
L
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

33%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$144 Liq.
2
Ends in 10 days
S
September Inflation US - Annual

September Inflation US - Annual

43%

3.6%

$39k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 24 days
T
Trump approval rating on September 25?

46%

38.5–38.9

$872 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
I
ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

27%

54.0 to 54.9

$14k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
I
ISM Services PMI - September 2026

ISM Services PMI - September 2026

28%

53.0 to 53.9

$16k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
U
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - September 2026

74%

46.0 to 48.9

$11k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
S
September Inflation UK - Annual

UK · CPI

September Inflation UK - Annual

59%

3.4-3.6%

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
K
Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

99%

<5

$20k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
K
Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

96%

<5

$2k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

98%

<5

$7k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?

49%

↓$7B

$16k Vol.
$376 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
N
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

96%

October 31

$9k Vol.
$259 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month