September 9 Primaries Predictions & Odds· 139 markets

I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

90%

September 20

$523k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

99%

October 31

$1.0m Vol.
$47k Liq.
28
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

99%

September 18

$100k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

37%

September 28

$19k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

88%

No release by September 30

$108k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

93%

September 22

$47k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
L
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by ___?

34%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$143 Liq.
2
Ends in 11 days
S
September Inflation US - Annual

September Inflation US - Annual

45%

3.6%

$36k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 25 days
U
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - September 2026

69%

46.0 to 48.9

$11k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
I
ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

ISM Manufacturing PMI - September 2026

30%

55.0 to 55.9

$14k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
September Inflation UK - Annual

UK · CPI

September Inflation UK - Annual

59%

3.4-3.6%

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
ISM Services PMI - September 2026

ISM Services PMI - September 2026

29%

54.0 to 54.9

$16k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

97%

<5

$17k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

94%

<5

$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will Glean's valuation hit __ by September 30?

49%

↑$7.75B

$8k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
K
Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

92%

<5

$227 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by September 30?

48%

↑$13B

$16k Vol.
$411 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
N
Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

94%

October 31

$9k Vol.
$156 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month