September 15 Primaries Predictions & Odds· 4338 markets

S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

68%

October 31

$1.5m Vol.
$145k Liq.
🔥$95k today
99
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$31.6m Vol.
$326k Liq.
🔥$60k today
299
Ends in 3 months
B
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

21%

December 31

$15.3m Vol.
$298k Liq.
🔥$56k today
275
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

5%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$41k Liq.
11
Ends in 5 days
A
Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

77%

December 31, 2026

$3.9m Vol.
$202k Liq.
50
Ends in 9 months
W
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

100%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$52k Liq.
28
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

90%

December 31

$299k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

16%

October 31

$137k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 5 days
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

71%

October 31

$1.4m Vol.
$32k Liq.
14
Ends in about 1 month
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

97%

October 31

$723k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
G
Gemini 4.0 released by...?

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

93%

November 30

$604k Vol.
$29k Liq.
18
Ends in 2 months
W
When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?

96%

No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026

$43k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

93%

September 27

$113k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

97%

September 25

$553k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?

58%

Does not return by November 1, 2026

$95k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

97%

No release by September 30

$142k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
H
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

74%

October 31

$126k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ended
W
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

88%

September 28

$105k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

26%

October 31

$93k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Will Iran target Iraq by...?

Will Iran target Iraq by...?

21%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 4 days