September 15 Primaries Predictions & Odds· 4333 markets

I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 30

$31.7m Vol.
$352k Liq.
🔥$78k today
300
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

68%

October 31

$1.6m Vol.
$128k Liq.
🔥$67k today
120
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

90%

December 31

$317k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

76%

December 31, 2026

$3.9m Vol.
$190k Liq.
51
Ends in 9 months
B
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

19%

December 31

$15.6m Vol.
$314k Liq.
275
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

100%

December 31

$1.1m Vol.
$61k Liq.
28
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

5%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$28k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 days
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

98%

October 31

$731k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
G
Gemini 4.0 released by...?

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

95%

November 30

$610k Vol.
$32k Liq.
19
Ends in 2 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

66%

October 31

$1.4m Vol.
$30k Liq.
15
Ends in about 1 month
W
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?

58%

Does not return by November 1, 2026

$99k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

99%

September 28

$116k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

93%

September 24

$107k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

61%

October 31

$55k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel military action against Syria by...?

34%

October 31

$67k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will Iran target Syria by...?

Will Iran target Syria by...?

12%

October 31

$42k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

99%

September 27

$560k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

61%

No return before November 1, 2026

$68k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

98%

No release by September 30

$142k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Will Iran target Qatar by...?

Will Iran target Qatar by...?

26%

October 31

$144k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 days