Robot Dreams Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

I
Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix

Sports · Games

Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix

50%

Ibaraki Robots

$0 Vol.
$78 Liq.
Ends in 12 days
W
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

27%

MGM Resorts

$18.3m Vol.
$84k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

10%

Beyond Meat

$241k Vol.
$44k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

4%

Yes

$124k Vol.
$7k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

80%

October 31

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

10%

Yes

$32k Vol.
$172 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

25%

#3

$242k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

6%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
A
AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?

11%

Yes

$445 Vol.
$726 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

7%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

54%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$541 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

43%

1470+

$32k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

61%

Anthropic

$25k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

42%

0

$115k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

13%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$558 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

57%

OpenAI

$491 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year