Robot Dreams 预测与赔率· 104 个市场

I
Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix

Sports · Games

Ibaraki Robots vs. SAN-EN NeoPhoenix

50%

Ibaraki Robots

$0 交易量
$77 流动性
12 天后结束
W
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

27%

MGM Resorts

$18.3m 交易量
$81k 流动性
23
3 个月后结束
W
Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Which companies announce bankruptcy before 2027?

10%

Beyond Meat

$241k 交易量
$40k 流动性
22
3 个月后结束
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

4%

Yes

$124k 交易量
$6k 流动性
15
3 个月后结束
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

38%

October 31

$4k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

81%

October 31

$8k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

10%

Yes

$32k 交易量
$180 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k 交易量
$7k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

25%

#3

$242k 交易量
$19k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

6%

Yes

$8k 交易量
$4k 流动性
11 天后结束
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
A
AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?

AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?

12%

Yes

$445 交易量
$686 流动性
3 个月后结束
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k 交易量
$6k 流动性
2 个月后结束
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

7%

Yes

$22k 交易量
$23k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

43%

1470+

$32k 交易量
$9k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

42%

0

$113k 交易量
$70k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

11%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$561 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

56%

OpenAI

$491 交易量
$1k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

65%

Z.ai

$126k 交易量
$15k 流动性
11 天后结束
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

29%

Google

$58k 交易量
$47k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束