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Regulation Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

W

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.

$294k Liq.

8

Ends in 3 months

F

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

9%

Yes

$38k Vol.

$16k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

M

Crypto·Airdrops

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.

$327 Liq.

135

Ends in 3 months

W

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

27%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.

$5k Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

W

CS2 · Sports

Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?

11%

Yes

$347 Vol.

$98 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

C

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

16%

Yes

$21k Vol.

$947 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

S

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

8%

October 31

$26k Vol.

$20k Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

F

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

36%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$90k Vol.

$148k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

U

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

6%

Yes

$984k Vol.

$29k Liq.

7

Ends in 3 months

O

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

81%

October 31

$8k Vol.

$3k Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

W

Crypto·Recurring

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

66%

↓ 0.0030

$192k Vol.

$42k Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months

W

Crypto·Crypto Prices

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.

$504 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

S

Politics·Supreme Court

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

34%

December 31

$989k Vol.

$10k Liq.

6

Ends in 3 months

H

Crypto·Airdrops

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.

$6k Liq.

38

Ends in over 1 year

W

Geopolitics·Taiwan

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

4%

Yes

$368k Vol.

$44k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

U

Politics·AI Regulation

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

11%

Yes

$132k Vol.

$30k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

C

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: LFO UKRAINE vs Drama eSports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

$902 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ended

S

Politics·Taxes

Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?

10%

Yes

$44k Vol.

$3k Liq.

5

Ends in 7 months

D

DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?

7%

Yes

$95 Vol.

$9k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

W

Mentions·Trump

What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

97%

China

$1k Vol.

$636 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

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Popular Regulation Predictions

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

New Regulation Predictions

US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?