Referendums Midterms Predictions & Odds· 136 markets

W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

65%

Democratic Party

$5.0m Vol.
$733k Liq.
🔥$174k today
144
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$12.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$108k today
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iceland EU referendum passes?

Iceland EU referendum passes?

0%

Yes

$281k Vol.
$26k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

34%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$164 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

11%

Yes

$7k Vol.
$663 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$529k Vol.
$23k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

3%

Food initiative

$52k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

72%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?

99%

Yes

$958 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

25%

Yes

$10 Vol.
$715 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

33%

115-120m

$31k Vol.
$91k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

98%

Yes

$422k Vol.
$70k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

3%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$13k Liq.
22
Ends in about 1 month
O
OR-02 House Election Winner

OR-02 House Election Winner

95%

Cliff Bentz (R)

$9k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

79%

Democrats

$3k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
M
ME-02 House Election Winner

ME-02 House Election Winner

59%

Paul LePage (R)

$12k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

36%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$170 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month