Erdogan Predictions & Odds· 185 markets

E
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

6%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$25k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$358k Vol.
$635k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

19%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.3m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
208
Ends in 20 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$286k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

98%

Trump

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20)

48%

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

$9k Vol.
$873 Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
E
Erdoğan >93¢ on May 26?

All

Erdoğan >93¢ on May 26?

No

$66k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?

Yes

$4.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?

No

$106k Vol.
$0 Liq.
61
Ended
E
Erdoğan out in 2025?

No

$206k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
W
Will Erdogan repeal presidential term limits?

No

$55k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
N
Next leader out of power in 2025?

World · Geopolitics

Next leader out of power in 2025?

None in 2025

$2.2m Vol.
$7k Liq.
17
Ended
W
Who will Trump publicly praise by July 31?

Brett Kavanaugh

$44k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?

Abbas Araghchi

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
32
Ended
W
What will Trump say during meeting with French President?

Barack Hussein Obama

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

Donald Trump

$2.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
51
Ended
N
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Starmer - UK PM

$67.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
114
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Politics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Orbán - Hungary PM

$7.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Politics · Geopolitics

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader

$434k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · Politics

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Schoof - Netherlands PM

$11.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months