Polling Predictions & Odds· 170 markets

U
UK election called by...?

UK · pedophile

UK election called by...?

27%

June 30, 2027

$825k Vol.
$2k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
G
GOP Black vote share?

GOP Black vote share?

35%

10–11%

$2k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

79%

Democrats

$2k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Which party will win white women in the midterms?

60%

Democrats

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
H
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

72%

6

$32k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win older women in the midterms?

86%

Democrats

$478 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Which party will win Latino men in the midterms?

87%

Democrats

$1k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

95%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Trump sue NYT/Siena over polling by Feb 28?

No

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
T
Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on April 5?

Trump by <1.4 (or Biden ahead)

$46k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Biden polling higher 1 week after debate?

No

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
G
Generic Ballot polling on August 24?

Dems +6.6–6.7%

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
T
Trump vs. Biden RCP polling margin on May 31?

Trump by 0.8-1.1

$37k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
T
Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 16?

Harris by 0.6-1

$345k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended
T
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Harris by 1.5-1.9

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
32
Ended
T
Trump vs. Harris polling margin on Sept. 6?

Harris by 1.5-1.9

$1.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
107
Ended
T
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Harris by 1.6-2.0

$846k Vol.
$0 Liq.
99
Ended
T
Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 9?

Harris by 0.5-0.9

$246k Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended
T
Trump vs. Harris RCP polling margin on Aug 30?

Harris by 1.5-1.9

$767k Vol.
$0 Liq.
123
Ended
T
Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Harris by 2-2.4

$3.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended