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Referenda Predictions & Odds· 126 markets

AllPoliticsElectionsUnited StatesGavin NewsomCanadaCaliforniaWorld AffairsOhioReferendumAbortionLegislationVirginiaIcelandCongressBangladeshPopular VoteItalyFranceSwitzerlandSlovakiaGlobal ElectionsEuropean Union GeopoliticsEuropeAfricaCoupMacronWorldMidtermsElection Rigging Response Act)Proposition 50Nov 4 ElectionsPropProp 50Slovak RepublicReferendaGerrymanderDistrictMain ElectionGuinea BissauIceland EU ReferendumIceland European Union Referendum
W
Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass?

Politics·All

Will Ohio’s abortion referendum pass?

Yes

$58k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Australia's Indigenous Voice referendum pass?

All

Will Australia's Indigenous Voice referendum pass?

No

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
I
Iceland EU Referendum: Turnout

Politics·Europe

Iceland EU Referendum: Turnout

80–85%

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Iceland EU Referendum: Margin of Victory

Politics·Europe

Iceland EU Referendum: Margin of Victory

No 3–6%

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
G
Guinea-Bissau Constitutional Referendum

Politics·coup

Guinea-Bissau Constitutional Referendum

Passes

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
2
2026 Slovakia Referendum: What will pass?

Politics·slovakia

2026 Slovakia Referendum: What will pass?

Cancelling politician annuity

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
S
Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Politics·referendum

Switzerland’s June Referendum: What will pass?

Civilian Service Act

$774k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Politics·Midterms

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
93
Ended
S
Switzerland’s March Referendum: What will pass?

Politics·Switzerland

Switzerland’s March Referendum: What will pass?

Cash initiative/Counter-Proposal

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Elections·Global Elections

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

No

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
836
Ended
B
Bangladesh July Charter referendum passes?

World·bangladesh

Bangladesh July Charter referendum passes?

Yes

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

World·France

Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

No

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Politics·Canada

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Yes

$923k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
By what margin will the California redistricting referendum pass?

Politics·gavin newsom

By what margin will the California redistricting referendum pass?

20-30%

$364k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
C
California redistricting referendum passes?

Politics·gavin newsom

California redistricting referendum passes?

Yes

$562k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended
C
California Legislature approves redistricting referendum by August 23?

Politics·gavin newsom

California Legislature approves redistricting referendum by August 23?

Yes

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Will the 2025 Guinea referendum pass?

World·world affairs

Will the 2025 Guinea referendum pass?

Yes

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
S
Switzerland Referendum 2025

World·world affairs

Switzerland Referendum 2025

e-ID Act passes?

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
W
Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?

World · Elections

Will the 2025 Taiwanese referendum pass?

No

$374k Vol.
$0 Liq.
55
Ended
I
Italian Referendum

World·Global Elections

Italian Referendum

Citizenship Residency Requirement

$223k Vol.
$0 Liq.
44
Ended

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