Legislation Predictions & Odds· 268 markets

C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

14%

Yes

$21k Vol.
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W
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

41%

AI-chip export licensing

$167k Vol.
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1
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S
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

8%

October 31

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S
SAVE Act becomes law by...?

8%

Yes

$554k Vol.
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5
Ended
W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

17%

Alex Padilla

$154k Vol.
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1
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C
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

Politics

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

9%

Yes

$790 Vol.
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H
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

9%

Above 62

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C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

34%

Yes

$284 Vol.
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H
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

7%

Yes

$191k Vol.
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23
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W
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

5%

Yes

$10k Vol.
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3
Ends in 6 months
U
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

6%

Yes

$20k Vol.
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W
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?

92%

Yes

$4k Vol.
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C
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

7%

Yes

$22.5m Vol.
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380
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U
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___?

37%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
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F
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

12%

Yes

$345 Vol.
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T
Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?

11%

Yes

$806 Vol.
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Ends in 9 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$290k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
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I
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by...?

96%

Yes

$27k Vol.
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7
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W
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

46%

Yes

$16k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months