Public Release Predictions & Odds· 423 markets

S
SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

84%

December 31

$116k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?

40%

Yes

$27k Vol.
$281 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the next Muse model family be named?

50%

Other

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$28k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
E
Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?

8%

Epic Games

$1k Vol.
$489 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

85%

October 31

$19k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

November 30

$57k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

9%

OpenAI

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

51%

December 31

$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

48%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

34%

November 30

$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

20%

No release by October 31

$3k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

25%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

92%

Anthropic

$83k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

77%

October 31

$1.4m Vol.
$20k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

30%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

62%

$900B-$1.00T

$32k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

87%

↑$1.0T

$1.2m Vol.
$100k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

97%

No release by September 30

$139k Vol.
$156k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
A
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

54%

Anduril

$10k Vol.
$278 Liq.
Ends in 3 months