Public Release Predictions & Odds· 418 markets

S
SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

60%

November 30

$112k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Valve officially release Deadlock before 2027?

46%

Yes

$27k Vol.
$320 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the next Muse model family be named?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$27k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
E
Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?

8%

Epic Games

$1k Vol.
$752 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

86%

October 31

$19k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

November 30

$55k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

9%

OpenAI

$10k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

56%

December 31

$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

47%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

28%

October 31

$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

23%

No release by October 31

$2k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

25%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

91%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

82%

October 31

$1.4m Vol.
$20k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

30%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

66%

$900B-$1.00T

$32k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

86%

↑$1.0T

$1.2m Vol.
$103k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

92%

No release by September 30

$134k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
A
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

53%

Anduril

$10k Vol.
$524 Liq.
Ends in 3 months