Capital Expenditures Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
C
California Tax Spend Audit Proposition

51%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
S
Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

59%

Yes

$73k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

53%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$64 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$225 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

20%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
P
Private Companies - greatest valuation growth September 2026

42%

Anthropic

$0 Vol.
$518 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
S
Stripe vs Databricks - greater valuation growth September 2026

65%

Stripe

$824 Vol.
$85 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

36%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

38%

$1.50-$1.75T

$4k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?

30%

Yes

$468 Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 10 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

88%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
S
SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?

SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?

40%

$2.25T+

$8k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Alphabet’s Market Cap end of October 2026?

Alphabet’s Market Cap end of October 2026?

42%

$4.00-$4.50T

$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

48%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of September 2026?

75%

$1.25-$1.50T

$2k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Meta (META) Q2 capital expenditures be above __?

$30B

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 capital expenditures be above __?

$37B

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Oracle 2026 capital expenditures be above __?

$47.5B

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended