Peace Negotiations Predictions & Odds· 255 markets

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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

14%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$25.0m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$65k today
214
Ends in 6 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

69%

December 31

$904k Vol.
$136k Liq.
59
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

5%

December 31

$530k Vol.
$31k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

10%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

2%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

3%

Yes

$69k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo

3%

Yes

$629k Vol.
$12k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

40%

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf

$1.1m Vol.
$212k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

26%

Peace

$8k Vol.
$328 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
S
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

98%

No election before 2027

$112k Vol.
$60k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

71%

December 31, 2027

$8.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
225
Ends in 9 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

26%

October 31

$56k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Us Danylo vs. Peretiatko Andrii

Sports · Games

Us Danylo vs. Peretiatko Andrii

50%

Us Danylo

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?

No

$72k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?

No

$322k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?

No

$64k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

April 26

$10.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
582
Ended
I
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

April 22

$12.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
188
Ended
U
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

December 31

$478.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
12,911
Ends in 3 months