Openai Predictions & Odds· 582 markets

N
Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

1480+

$205k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
S
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

All · sam altman

Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30?

No

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
E
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?

All · OpenAI

Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?

No

$85k Vol.
$0 Liq.
29
Ended
O
OpenAI board out by end of week?

All · OpenAI

OpenAI board out by end of week?

No

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?

All · OpenAI

OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31?

Yes

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
S
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?

All · OpenAI

Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?

Yes

$381k Vol.
$0 Liq.
28
Ended
A
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30?

All · adam d'angelo

Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30?

No

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week?

All · OpenAI

Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week?

No

$31k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

All · sam altman

Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI?

No

$25k Vol.
$2 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023?

All · OpenAI

Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023?

No

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?

All

Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?

Yes

$121k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?

All · OpenAI

Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1?

Yes

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended
O
OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

September 14

$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 16 days
O
OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

September 7

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
N
Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by...?

September 30

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026

Anthropic

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic + OpenAI

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

Anthropic

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
N
Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

1450+

$221k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

September 30

$57k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 10 days