Open AI Predictions & Odds· 419 markets

U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

50%

A Great Chaos

$0 Vol.
$84 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
C
Counter-Strike: Diamant Esports vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Diamant Esports vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

33%

Diamant Esports

$5 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
C
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: aimclub vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

54%

aimclub

$39 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$265k Vol.
$23k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

57%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m Vol.
$98k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

82%

Goldman Sachs

$53k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.
$21k Liq.
2
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

83%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

74%

$OAI

$15k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

59%

OpenAI

$491 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

78%

55%+

$108k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

59%

Google

$21k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
New MAI thinking model released by...?

New MAI thinking model released by...?

57%

December 31

$489 Vol.
$317 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

50%

Company A

$31k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$58k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

65%

Alibaba

$47k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 10 days