Open AI Predictions & Odds· 418 markets

U
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

8%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$968 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: A Great Chaos vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

50%

A Great Chaos

$0 Vol.
$103 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
C
Counter-Strike: Diamant Esports vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Diamant Esports vs aimclub (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

23%

Diamant Esports

$5 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
C
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: aimclub vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #2 Group A

55%

aimclub

$86 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

3%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$266k Vol.
$23k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

56%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m Vol.
$102k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

80%

Goldman Sachs

$54k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

89%

$800B

$1.5m Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI acquired before 2027?

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

4%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

87%

October 31

$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

78%

55%+

$108k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

59%

Google

$21k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

70%

Anthropic

$88k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
N
New MAI thinking model released by...?

New MAI thinking model released by...?

57%

December 31

$489 Vol.
$374 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

50%

Company A

$31k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best AI Lab end of September?

Second-best AI Lab end of September?

84%

Google

$111k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
T
Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$59k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month