Model Predictions & Odds· 789 markets

W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.6m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$61k today
Ends in 11 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$347k Vol.
$641k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$985k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

50%

Other

$7k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

47%

October 12–October 18

$61k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

52%

1450+

$13k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

71%

1500+

$80k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

92%

40%+

$66k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

19%

October 31

$100k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

37%

September 29

$19k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

85%

October 31

$1.3m Vol.
$9k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

91%

December 31

$26k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?

87%

Anthropic

$52k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$157k Vol.
$107k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

64%

Anthropic

$23k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

92%

1480+

$170k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
W
Which company has the best AI model end of November?

78%

Anthropic

$3k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

78%

Anthropic

$24k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month