Fable Predictions & Odds· 155 markets

N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

91%

December 31

$26k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
The Game Awards: Game of the Year

The Game Awards: Game of the Year

66%

Grand Theft Auto VI

$45k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
B
Best AI model on September 21?

Best AI model on September 21?

95%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$31k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

31%

September 21

$24k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

87%

December 31, 2027

$26k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

43%

1470+

$32k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

69%

1500+

$79k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$23k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

98%

October 31

$181k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

72%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$731 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

95%

December 31

$22k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic announces permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?

July 24

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Anthropic removes paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?

July 19

$46k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

June 30

$257k Vol.
$0 Liq.
29
Ended
C
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

July 1

$5.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
535
Ended
C
Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by…?

September 30

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
B
Best AI model on September 14?

claude-fable-5.1-max

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended