Model Predictions & Odds· 789 markets

W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.7m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$361k Vol.
$678k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

72%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

92%

No release by September 30

$118k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

50%

Other

$9k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

85%

October 31

$1.3m Vol.
$11k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

95%

40%+

$68k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

92%

1480+

$171k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

73%

1500+

$82k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Best AI model on September 21?

Best AI model on September 21?

95%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$32k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 17 hours
W
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

51%

October 12–October 18

$61k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

30%

1575

$132k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on...?

37%

September 29

$20k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

73%

Anthropic

$39k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

23%

1470+

$33k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$24k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

27%

Google

$158k Vol.
$291k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

90%

December 31

$27k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

78%

Anthropic

$24k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
SSI public model released by…?

SSI public model released by…?

19%

October 31

$100k Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month