Makkah Joint Defence Agreement Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

F
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

14%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$376 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

71%

December 31, 2027

$8.1m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
232
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

23%

October 31

$2.7m Vol.
$43k Liq.
156
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

6%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$28k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 days
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

23%

October 31

$60k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

43%

December 31

$206k Vol.
$48k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

34%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

12%

Bahrain

$64k Vol.
$131k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

25%

December 31

$64k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ended
H
Houthi military action against Mecca by...?

8%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

13%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

50%

October 31

$6k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$17k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

18%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 days
H
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

78%

September 23

$116k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel military action against Yemen by...?

36%

December 31

$316k Vol.
$39k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 days
H
Houthi military action against Israel by...?

14%

October 31

$240k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
U
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

100%

September 25

$74k Vol.
$40k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month