Makkah Joint Defence Agreement Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

F
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

26%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$624 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

9%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$35k Liq.
8
Ends in 6 days
U
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

94%

December 31

$312k Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

73%

December 31, 2027

$8.0m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
224
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

34%

October 31

$2.7m Vol.
$50k Liq.
155
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

41%

December 31

$205k Vol.
$43k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

27%

October 31

$49k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

12%

Oman

$63k Vol.
$140k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

31%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$993 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

25%

December 31

$64k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ended
H
Houthi military action against Mecca by...?

8%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

14%

December 31

$9k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

52%

October 31

$5k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$17k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

19%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

2%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 days
H
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

51%

September 28

$114k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel military action against Yemen by...?

55%

December 31

$314k Vol.
$55k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 days
H
Houthi military action against Israel by...?

28%

October 31

$240k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 5 days