License Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

F
FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

9%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

7%

Yes

$27k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
E
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?

13%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$321 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$233k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
S
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

88%

June 30, 2027?

$44k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

45%

December 31, 2026

$402k Vol.
$9k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
W
Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?

CS2 · Sports

Will ropz Get Pulled Over Again in 2026?

11%

Yes

$347 Vol.
$97 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

28%

↑ 0.30

$304k Vol.
$981 Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

28%

Google

$58k Vol.
$35k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
S
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

34%

December 31

$989k Vol.
$10k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

42%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

67%

↓ 0.0030

$192k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
UK election called by...?

UK · pedophile

UK election called by...?

27%

June 30, 2027

$825k Vol.
$2k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

77%

↑ $6

$842k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?

60%

↑ $68

$24k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
L
LoL: Contingent Esports vs University of Mississippi (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs
$418k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

82%

October 31

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month