Legislation Predictions & Odds· 271 markets

C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

9%

Yes

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W
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

34%

AI-chip export licensing

$168k Vol.
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1
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S
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

5%

October 31

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S
SAVE Act becomes law by...?

9%

Yes

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5
Ended
W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

16%

Alex Padilla

$171k Vol.
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1
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C
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

Politics

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

8%

Yes

$790 Vol.
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H
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

9%

Above 66

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C
Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?

17%

Yes

$0 Vol.
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C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

21%

Yes

$512 Vol.
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H
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

6%

Yes

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23
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U
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

5%

Yes

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W
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

4%

Yes

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3
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C
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

6%

Yes

$22.9m Vol.
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W
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?

92%

Yes

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F
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

11%

Yes

$345 Vol.
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U
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___?

37%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
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W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$984k Vol.
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8
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T
Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?

11%

Yes

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I
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by...?

98%

Yes

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F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
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Ends in 9 days