Legislation Predictions & Odds· 271 markets

C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

7%

Yes

$26k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
W
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

32%

AI-chip export licensing

$169k Vol.
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1
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S
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

5%

October 31

$39k Vol.
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S
SAVE Act becomes law by...?

9%

Yes

$557k Vol.
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5
Ended
W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

16%

Josh Hawley

$177k Vol.
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1
Ends in 3 months
C
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

Politics

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

9%

Yes

$790 Vol.
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H
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

9%

Above 66

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C
Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?

9%

Yes

$22 Vol.
$237 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

14%

Yes

$648 Vol.
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H
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

6%

Yes

$192k Vol.
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23
Ends in 3 months
U
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

5%

Yes

$20k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

4%

Yes

$10k Vol.
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3
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C
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

6%

Yes

$22.9m Vol.
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380
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W
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?

91%

Yes

$4k Vol.
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F
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

12%

Yes

$345 Vol.
$437 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___?

28%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
$831 Liq.
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W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$275k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?

11%

Yes

$806 Vol.
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I
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by...?

96%

Yes

$27k Vol.
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7
Ended
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days