Legislation Predictions & Odds· 131 markets

C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

10%

Yes

$22k Vol.
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W
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

43%

AI-chip export licensing

$168k Vol.
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1
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S
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

5%

October 31

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S
SAVE Act becomes law by...?

9%

Yes

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5
Ended
W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

16%

Alex Padilla

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1
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C
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

Politics

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

8%

Yes

$790 Vol.
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H
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

9%

Above 66

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H
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

7%

Yes

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23
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U
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

5%

Yes

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C
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

6%

Yes

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C
Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?

25%

Yes

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C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

31%

Yes

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W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

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8
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I
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by...?

97%

Yes

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7
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C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

7%

Yes

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1
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U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

6%

Yes

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W
Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

22%

December 31

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U
US military draft authorized in 2026?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

5%

Yes

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11
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W
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?

92%

Yes

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W
Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?

95%

Republican Party

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