US Law Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

34%

Yes

$294 Vol.
$267 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

45%

AI-chip export licensing

$168k Vol.
$78k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$281k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

16%

Yes

$21k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

61%

Democrats Sweep

$12.8m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$135k today
292
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

7%

Yes

$42k Vol.
$5k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

11%

Yes

$133k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

25%

Mexico

$393k Vol.
$120k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

95%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$768 Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 4 months
S
SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

8%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$286 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

6%

Yes

$10.7m Vol.
$66k Liq.
273
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

51%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
O
OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

28%

Yes

$761 Vol.
$321 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

2%

Yes

$116k Vol.
$1k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$51k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
U
US military draft authorized in 2026?

US military draft authorized in 2026?

3%

Yes

$526k Vol.
$22k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month