Legislation Predictions & Odds· 268 markets

C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

10%

Yes

$22k Vol.
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W
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

42%

AI-chip export licensing

$168k Vol.
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1
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S
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

6%

October 31

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S
SAVE Act becomes law by...?

8%

Yes

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5
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W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

16%

Alex Padilla

$159k Vol.
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1
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C
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

Politics

Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?

9%

Yes

$790 Vol.
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H
How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

9%

Above 66

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C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

31%

Yes

$318 Vol.
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H
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

7%

Yes

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23
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W
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

4%

Yes

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3
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U
US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

6%

Yes

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W
Will California enact a law recognizing Jews as an ethnic group by December 31?

93%

Yes

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C
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

6%

Yes

$22.8m Vol.
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U
US Treasury announces Bitcoin purchase by ___?

37%

December 31, 2027

$2k Vol.
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F
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

11%

Yes

$345 Vol.
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T
Trump Space Academy begins training by June 30, 2027?

11%

Yes

$806 Vol.
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F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
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I
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by...?

97%

Yes

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W
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

46%

Yes

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C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

8%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$573 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months