Iran Predictions & Odds· 217 markets

U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 20

$1.2m Vol.
$159k Liq.
🔥$821k today
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

88%

September 30

$30.9m Vol.
$168k Liq.
🔥$372k today
292
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

18%

Yes

$67.4m Vol.
$564k Liq.
🔥$352k today
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

84%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.3m Vol.
$850k Liq.
🔥$150k today
Ends in 11 days
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

11%

December 31

$17.8m Vol.
$430k Liq.
🔥$65k today
156
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$25.9m Vol.
$713k Liq.
🔥$53k today
1,089
Ends in 9 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

61%

March 31, 2027

$11.7m Vol.
$202k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

32%

December 31

$9.7m Vol.
$38k Liq.
1,015
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

30%

October 31

$2.5m Vol.
$72k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

36%

Steve Witkoff

$759k Vol.
$321k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

13%

Yes

$1.8m Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

6%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$25k Liq.
8
Ends in 11 days
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

25%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$86k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

4%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$101k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$281k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

5%

Yes

$262k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

5%

Yes

$22.1m Vol.
$135k Liq.
429
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

8%

December 31

$17.9m Vol.
$120k Liq.
218
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran coup attempt by...?

Iran coup attempt by...?

8%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$32k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months