Iran Predictions & Odds· 217 markets

I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$25.8m Vol.
$794k Liq.
🔥$412k today
1,090
Ends in 9 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 20

$334k Vol.
$424k Liq.
🔥$293k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%

Yes

$67.1m Vol.
$806k Liq.
🔥$247k today
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

86%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.1m Vol.
$939k Liq.
🔥$211k today
Ends in 12 days
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

63%

March 31, 2027

$11.6m Vol.
$247k Liq.
🔥$100k today
Ends in 6 months
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

95%

September 30

$30.5m Vol.
$269k Liq.
🔥$56k today
291
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

11%

December 31

$17.7m Vol.
$497k Liq.
🔥$54k today
156
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

25%

December 31

$9.6m Vol.
$42k Liq.
1,015
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

31%

October 31

$2.5m Vol.
$100k Liq.
153
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

34%

Steve Witkoff

$744k Vol.
$353k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

5%

Yes

$22.1m Vol.
$166k Liq.
429
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?

1%

Yes

$74k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

27%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$112k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$113k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

7%

December 31

$17.9m Vol.
$187k Liq.
218
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$900k Vol.
$235k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Iran target Qatar by...?

Will Iran target Qatar by...?

9%

Yes

$144k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
I
Iran Nuke before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

5%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$87k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

28%

October 31

$88k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 11 days