Iran Offensive Actions Predictions & Odds· 171 markets

U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

100%

September 20

$1.6m Vol.
$385k Liq.
🔥$645k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%

Yes

$67.5m Vol.
$753k Liq.
🔥$333k today
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

93%

September 30

$30.9m Vol.
$273k Liq.
🔥$251k today
292
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

86%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.3m Vol.
$927k Liq.
🔥$127k today
Ends in 10 days
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

12%

December 31

$17.9m Vol.
$418k Liq.
🔥$93k today
156
Ends in 3 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

63%

March 31, 2027

$11.7m Vol.
$244k Liq.
🔥$78k today
Ends in 6 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$25.9m Vol.
$784k Liq.
🔥$54k today
1,089
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$946k Vol.
$235k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

4%

Yes

$22.1m Vol.
$123k Liq.
429
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

36%

Steve Witkoff

$775k Vol.
$331k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

33%

October 31

$2.6m Vol.
$87k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

29%

December 31

$9.7m Vol.
$56k Liq.
1,015
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

6%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$29k Liq.
8
Ends in 10 days
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

25%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$91k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

5%

Yes

$262k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

20%

October 31

$358k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in 10 days
I
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

8%

December 31

$17.9m Vol.
$137k Liq.
218
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

16%

Yes

$1.7m Vol.
$10k Liq.
62
Ended
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$7.8m Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in 3 months