Iran Offensive Actions Predictions & Odds· 170 markets

U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

95%

September 25

$1.7m Vol.
$382k Liq.
🔥$566k today
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$31.1m Vol.
$316k Liq.
🔥$213k today
293
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%

Yes

$67.5m Vol.
$749k Liq.
🔥$190k today
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

87%

No Meeting by September 30

$6.4m Vol.
$825k Liq.
🔥$131k today
Ends in 10 days
U
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

12%

December 31

$17.9m Vol.
$469k Liq.
🔥$81k today
156
Ends in 3 months
N
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

63%

March 31, 2027

$11.7m Vol.
$218k Liq.
🔥$80k today
Ends in 6 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

37%

Steve Witkoff

$838k Vol.
$314k Liq.
🔥$79k today
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

27%

June 30, 2027

$25.9m Vol.
$723k Liq.
🔥$55k today
1,089
Ends in 9 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$946k Vol.
$140k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

4%

Yes

$22.1m Vol.
$133k Liq.
429
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

35%

October 31

$2.6m Vol.
$68k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

28%

December 31

$9.7m Vol.
$51k Liq.
1,015
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

6%

Yes

$1.3m Vol.
$30k Liq.
8
Ends in 10 days
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

84%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
U
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

19%

October 31

$360k Vol.
$28k Liq.
6
Ends in 10 days
I
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

25%

December 31

$3.1m Vol.
$86k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

13%

Yes

$571k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

1%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$7.8m Vol.
$91k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

5%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$23k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months