Internet Access Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

T
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

24%

December 31

$248k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$336 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Astra removed from public access by...?

9%

October 31

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
C
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?

9%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$290k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

46%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
G
Grok (Web) Outage by...?

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

60%

December 31

$0 Vol.
$99 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

82%

October 31

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

77%

Anthropic

$80k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

64%

Alibaba

$46k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

29%

Google

$58k Vol.
$51k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

77%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

61%

Anthropic

$25k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$40k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month