Imf Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

A
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

57%

<25

$34k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
2
2026 World GDP Growth

2026 World GDP Growth

33%

3.0%

$34k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

63%

0-5

$38k Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
0
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?

19%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?

47%

<170

$13k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

40%

10+

$33k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
H
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?

32%

20-24

$25k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
M
M15 Monastir: Kasra Rahmani vs Ewen Lumsden

Tennis · Sports

M15 Monastir: Kasra Rahmani vs Ewen Lumsden

70%

Kasra Rahmani

$688 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

0%

Yes

$2.5m Vol.
$537k Liq.
Ended
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

7%

Yes

$739k Vol.
$189k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
0
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

21%

October 31

$842k Vol.
$19k Liq.
49
Ends in 11 days
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

1%

Yes

$9.1m Vol.
$450k Liq.
🔥$123k today
Ends in 12 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

15%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$900k Vol.
$235k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

12%

Yes

$378k Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

56%

↓ $0.04

$16k Vol.
$703 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
M25 Sintra: Patrick Schoen vs Tiago Cacao

Tennis · Sports

M25 Sintra: Patrick Schoen vs Tiago Cacao

69%

Patrick Schoen

$2k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

18%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$569k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

37%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$87k Vol.
$236k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

3%

Yes

$28k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?

Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?

25%

Yes

$551 Vol.
$190 Liq.
Ends in 4 months