Head Of State Predictions & Odds· 119 markets

V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

68%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.9m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$82k today
467
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

88%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.7m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$57k today
156
Ends in 3 months
V
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

93%

Delcy Rodríguez

$407k Vol.
$272k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$96k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$639k Vol.
$27k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Croat President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

58%

Darijana Filipović

$45k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
N
Next Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

93%

Željka Cvijanović

$38k Vol.
$66k Liq.
2
Ends in 5 days
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%

Yes

$308k Vol.
$21k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%

Yes

$180k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Bosniak President of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

82%

Denis Bećirović

$59k Vol.
$68k Liq.
6
Ends in 5 days
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

35%

No Meeting by December 31

$95k Vol.
$275k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

17%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$22k Liq.
81
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

5%

Yes

$85k Vol.
$22k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$630k Vol.
$516k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
$323k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

23%

June 30, 2027

$26.4m Vol.
$552k Liq.
🔥$64k today
1,089
Ends in 9 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

66%

December 31, 2026

$349k Vol.
$196k Liq.
🔥$88k today
Ends in 3 months
M
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

25%

September 30

$1.8m Vol.
$33k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
K
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?

7%

Yes

$297k Vol.
$13k Liq.
57
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Premier of Victoria

Next Premier of Victoria

75%

Jess Wilson

$24k Vol.
$152k Liq.
Ends in 2 months