Gov Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

S
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

61%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$199 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
S
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

33%

Yes

$354k Vol.
$196 Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Bernie endorse?

Who will Bernie endorse?

16%

James Talarico - TX-Sen

$188k Vol.
$45k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

1%

Yes

$251k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$78k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1000k Vol.
$274k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

62%

December 31

$31.2m Vol.
$405k Liq.
🔥$399k today
604
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

49%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$438 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

0%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$28k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

64%

200+

$857 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
C
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by...?

95%

October 31

$63k Vol.
$60k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 month
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

26%

Yes

$152k Vol.
$22k Liq.
🔥$81k today
19
Ends in 7 days
T
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

14%

December 31

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Tim Walz charged by...?

Tim Walz charged by...?

6%

Yes

$521k Vol.
$17k Liq.
48
Ends in 3 months
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

78%

October 31

$1.3m Vol.
$128k Liq.
🔥$113k today
77
Ends in about 1 month