Gov Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

S
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

34%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$316 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
S
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

33%

Yes

$354k Vol.
$244 Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Bernie endorse?

Who will Bernie endorse?

22%

James Talarico - TX-Sen

$189k Vol.
$45k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

1%

Yes

$251k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

1%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$81k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$271k Liq.
🔥$62k today
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

58%

December 31

$31.3m Vol.
$388k Liq.
🔥$283k today
606
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

45%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$497 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$6k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

76%

200+

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
T
Tim Walz charged by...?

Tim Walz charged by...?

6%

Yes

$521k Vol.
$19k Liq.
48
Ends in 3 months
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

14%

December 31

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

29%

Yes

$191k Vol.
$9k Liq.
🔥$64k today
20
Ends in 7 days
S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

81%

October 31

$1.3m Vol.
$138k Liq.
🔥$83k today
83
Ends in about 1 month
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

100%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
G
Georgia Senate and Governor Combo

Georgia Senate and Governor Combo

55%

Dems sweep

$9k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 6 months