Gov Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

S
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

62%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$221 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
S
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

33%

Yes

$354k Vol.
$186 Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Bernie endorse?

Who will Bernie endorse?

16%

James Talarico - TX-Sen

$188k Vol.
$48k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

2%

Yes

$251k Vol.
$11k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$36k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$984k Vol.
$288k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

62%

December 31

$31.0m Vol.
$433k Liq.
🔥$811k today
602
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

45%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$477 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

1%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

56%

200+

$831 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
C
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by...?

90%

October 31

$45k Vol.
$65k Liq.
7
Ends in about 1 month
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

27%

Yes

$123k Vol.
$19k Liq.
🔥$110k today
21
Ends in 8 days
T
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

14%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Tim Walz charged by...?

Tim Walz charged by...?

6%

Yes

$521k Vol.
$19k Liq.
48
Ends in 3 months
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

85%

October 31

$1.2m Vol.
$136k Liq.
🔥$314k today
76
Ends in 8 days