Gov Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

S
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by...?

33%

Yes

$354k Vol.
$182 Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
S
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by...?

65%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$206 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Bernie endorse?

Who will Bernie endorse?

16%

James Talarico - TX-Sen

$188k Vol.
$49k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

2%

Yes

$251k Vol.
$11k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

1%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

93%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$342k Vol.
$37k Liq.
12
Ends in 4 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
G
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

9%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

62%

December 31

$30.9m Vol.
$408k Liq.
🔥$714k today
602
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

11%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

4%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$25k Liq.
3
Ends in 6 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

49%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$432 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

1%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$964 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
White House # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

54%

200+

$364 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
C
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by...?

90%

October 31

$40k Vol.
$49k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

32%

Yes

$91k Vol.
$13k Liq.
🔥$80k today
15
Ends in 8 days
T
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

26%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Tim Walz charged by...?

Tim Walz charged by...?

6%

Yes

$521k Vol.
$19k Liq.
48
Ends in 3 months