Funding Bill Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

2%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
C
California Clinic Funding Proposition

35%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?

2%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
S
Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

2%

October 31

$48k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

34%

AI-chip export licensing

$170k Vol.
$80k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

16%

John Fetterman

$192k Vol.
$70k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
C
California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

55%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

8%

Yes

$26k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

4%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$24k Liq.
3
Ends in 6 months
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

12%

Yes

$173k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

39%

Yes

$742 Vol.
$342 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

46%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

4%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

59%

VAT federal decree

$10k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

7%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$583 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

22%

December 31

$17k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

66%

Yes

$147 Vol.
$166 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

71%

Yes

$834 Vol.
$159 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

32%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$323 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month