Funding Bill Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

8%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$105 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
C
California Clinic Funding Proposition

26%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?

2%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026?

50%

AI-chip export licensing

$168k Vol.
$78k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
C
California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

62%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

10%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal Appropriations Lapse on October 1?

1%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

11%

Yes

$143k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

3%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Iran · Trump

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

8%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$534 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

32%

Yes

$318 Vol.
$242 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

38%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$731 Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
I
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by...?

96%

Yes

$27k Vol.
$258 Liq.
7
Ended
C
California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

68%

Yes

$834 Vol.
$156 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

72%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

53%

Yes

$147 Vol.
$200 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

49%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$303 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition

76%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$946k Vol.
$144k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
A
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

93%

Not Extended & Democratic Party

$407k Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month