Fro Predictions & Odds· 280 markets

C
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by...?

90%

October 31

$40k Vol.
$50k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

11%

Yes

$578k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?

11%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
M
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

11%

Yes

$1.7m Vol.
$58k Liq.
106
Ends in 3 months
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

2%

Yes

$6.3m Vol.
$47k Liq.
68
Ends in 3 months
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Astra removed from public access by...?

5%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

4%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
A
Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

9%

Yes

$301k Vol.
$17k Liq.
65
Ends in 3 months
S
SBF released from custody in 2026?

2%

Yes

$465k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

29%

CATL

$388k Vol.
$59k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
I
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

27%

March 31

$1.4m Vol.
$58k Liq.
26
Ended
M
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?

81%

Yes

$1.2m Vol.
$1k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

62%

October 31

$80 Vol.
$65 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

10%

Yes

$1.4m Vol.
$2k Liq.
34
Ended
U
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

1%

Yes

$194k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
I
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

5%

December 31

$8.5m Vol.
$96k Liq.
219
Ends in 3 months
N
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

7%

Yes

$2.7m Vol.
$31k Liq.
61
Ended
F
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

25%

Yes

$114 Vol.
$124 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

37%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$389 Liq.
Ends in 3 months