Fourth Quarter Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

R
Russia Parliamentary Election: 4th Place

Russia Parliamentary Election: 4th Place

65%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)

$13k Vol.
$93k Liq.
1
Ends in about 24 hours
B
Berlin State Election: 4th Place

Berlin State Election: 4th Place

84%

Grüne

$28k Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in about 24 hours
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

73%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$215k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
C
China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

91%

4.0–5.0%

$906k Vol.
$87k Liq.
17
Ends in 4 months
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$23k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
E
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

62%

0-1.0%

$50k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$285k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

8%

Yes

$2.0m Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
B
Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)

Soccer · Sports

Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers (2026-27)

98%

Bayern Munich

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 months
J
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$102 Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
U
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

90%

1-2%

$92k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 months
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

50%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$150 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
I
IA-04 House Election Winner

IA-04 House Election Winner

93%

Chris McGowan (R)

$36k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
L
LA-04 House Election Winner

LA-04 House Election Winner

95%

Republican Party

$12k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
N
NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Quarters

CFB (All) · NCAAF

NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Quarters

67%

Ohio St.

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
C
CO-04 House Election Winner

CO-04 House Election Winner

70%

Lauren Boebert (R)

$20k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OR-04 House Election Winner

OR-04 House Election Winner

94%

Val Hoyle (D)

$23k Vol.
$39k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
S
SC-04 House Election Winner

SC-04 House Election Winner

93%

William Timmons (R)

$44k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
M
MS-04 House Election Winner

MS-04 House Election Winner

97%

Mike Ezell (R)

$40k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month