Ethics Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$348 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

33%

50

$23k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$945k Vol.
$214k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

27%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

96%

China

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

52%

↑ 0.24

$6k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
C
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Group B

50%

Honvéd

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
W
What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

69%

↑ $0.80

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

25%

55%+

$65k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k Vol.
$338 Liq.
Ends in about 2 hours
C
Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Drama eSports vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Group A

50%

Drama eSports

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
W
What price will LAB hit in 2026?

What price will LAB hit in 2026?

6%

↑ $22

$46k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

73%

↑ $6

$844k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

28%

Google

$59k Vol.
$53k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
H
Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

43%

60%+

$73k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

41%

Solary

$294 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

77%

55%+

$108k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$793k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months