Employment Predictions & Odds· 110 markets

S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

40%

4.1%

$20k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$12k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$451 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

37%

50k to 100k

$11k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

30%

7.1M to 7.2M

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

68%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$96k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$984k Vol.
$282k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

7%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

34%

Google

$72k Vol.
$62k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$111k Vol.
$170k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
E
EPL 2026-27: Which Manager Gets Sacked First?

EPL · Soccer

EPL 2026-27: Which Manager Gets Sacked First?

50%

Manager A

$200 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 8 months
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

60%

↑ 0.24

$7k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

64%

↓ 0.0030

$193k Vol.
$37k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 23?

100%

$750

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 10 hours
U
UK election called by...?

UK · pedophile

UK election called by...?

27%

June 30, 2027

$826k Vol.
$2k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

34%

5.9%+

$12k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 23 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

42%

June 30, 2027

$575k Vol.
$9k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year