Embargo Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

18%

Yes

$436k Vol.
$1k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

62%

December 31

$31.2m Vol.
$404k Liq.
🔥$432k today
604
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

0%

Yes

$19k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

4%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$614 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

16%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$242k Liq.
35
Ended
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

34%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$821 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

39%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$133 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

64%

8

$1.7m Vol.
$127k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

27%

October 31

$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 25

$2.3m Vol.
$600k Liq.
🔥$219k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$268k Vol.
$14k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

65%

December 31

$27k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia military action against EU country by...?

20%

December 31

$50k Vol.
$70k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

2%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 days
L
LAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

LAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

6%

OKX

$135k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

35%

December 31

$9k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

52%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$417 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

76%

4

$7.6m Vol.
$326k Liq.
Ends in 3 months