Embargo Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

14%

Yes

$435k Vol.
$2k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

62%

December 31

$30.0m Vol.
$474k Liq.
🔥$262k today
587
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

1%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
U
US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?

7%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$117 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$293k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

37%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by...?

33%

September 30

$6k Vol.
$445 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

65%

8

$1.7m Vol.
$151k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

34%

October 31

$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

93%

September 25

$1.7m Vol.
$390k Liq.
🔥$595k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

8%

Yes

$267k Vol.
$17k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

66%

December 31

$22k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia military action against EU country by...?

19%

December 31

$30k Vol.
$82k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

5%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 10 days
L
LAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

LAPTOP listed on ___ within 30 days of TGE?

7%

OKX

$126k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

19%

December 31

$6k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

48%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$462 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

76%

4

$7.6m Vol.
$254k Liq.
Ends in 3 months