Disclosure Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

50%

Film D

$232k Vol.
$256k Liq.
2
Ends in 6 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

100%

The Odyssey

$33k Vol.
$18k Liq.
4
Ends in 4 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner

50%

Movie A

$26k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 months
W
Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

82%

The Odyssey

$181k Vol.
$61k Liq.
9
Ends in 5 months
W
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

4%

Yes

$342k Vol.
$27k Liq.
45
Ends in 3 months
W
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

10%

Yes

$140k Vol.
$13k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

86%

October 31

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

6%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

46%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

35%

Google

$61k Vol.
$47k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
C
Counter-Strike: Pandaric eSports vs Reveal (BO3) - DACH CS Masters Regular Season

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Pandaric eSports vs Reveal (BO3) - DACH CS Masters Regular Season

2%

Pandaric eSports

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
W
Will "DataRepublican" publicly testify before congress by October 31?

5%

Yes

$387 Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$315 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
G
Greenland deal text released by...?

Greenland deal text released by...?

87%

September 30

$29k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 days
E
Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

5%

October 31

$4.4m Vol.
$6k Liq.
1,049
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

26%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$947k Vol.
$128k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

50%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$64 Liq.
Ends in 10 days
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

36%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

87%

$900B-$1.00T

$28k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 days