Diplomacy Predictions & Odds· 121 markets

I
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

80%

October 31

$109 Vol.
$509 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

43%

USA

$19k Vol.
$110k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

76%

December 31, 2026

$26k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

89%

December 31

$266k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

17%

October 31

$16k Vol.
$828 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US x North Korea diplomatic meeting by...?

27%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$178 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

3%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
N
North Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)

66%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$142 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

31%

Yes

$38k Vol.
$292 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

70%

December 31

$813k Vol.
$138k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

9%

Yes

$3.5m Vol.
$10k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

70%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$1.0m Vol.
$206k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
I
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

8%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$18k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

7%

Yes

$239k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

8%

Yes

$442k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

43%

December 31

$202k Vol.
$45k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

34%

October 31

$2.6m Vol.
$39k Liq.
154
Ends in about 1 month
U
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

5%

Yes

$350k Vol.
$28k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

59%

December 31

$31.2m Vol.
$419k Liq.
🔥$253k today
604
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of Xi summit?

1%

Yes

$28k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 14 days