Department Of War Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

4%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

2%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$7.8m Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

5%

Yes

$171k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$4.6m Vol.
$369k Liq.
🔥$322k today
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

31%

DeepSeek

$100k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

13%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 days
T
Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?

1%

Yes

$54k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 days
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

0%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

42%

CATL

$472k Vol.
$168k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

26%

Yes

$473k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

7%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$158k Liq.
🔥$53k today
8
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.1m Vol.
$247k Liq.
35
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?

28%

September 29

$19k Vol.
$23k Liq.
3
Ends in 2 days
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

46%

October 31

$6k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

14%

December 31

$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

100%

September 25

$78k Vol.
$73k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month