Climate Change Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$287k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

22%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$410 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$540 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$336 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

46%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

73%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$221k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

44%

↓ 0.40

$79k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

78%

↑ $6

$843k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

97%

2nd hottest

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

78%

Yes

$703 Vol.
$492 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Where will it rain on September 20?

95%

Chicago, IL

$689 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

28%

↑ 0.30

$304k Vol.
$957 Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$537 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

17%

↓ 2 ETH

$4k Vol.
$405 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Solana hit in 2026?

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

70%

↑ 120

$2.0m Vol.
$682k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will BNB hit in 2026?

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

54%

↓ 650

$175k Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will it rain on September 19?

Where will it rain on September 19?

100%

Chicago, IL

$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours